Find out which party is best placed to beat Reform UK in your seat, based on the last election and the latest polls, with sources so you can check the numbers yourself.

YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026

Predicts Reform UK would win 123 of 632 seats. Source

More in Common MRP, 21 September 2026

Predicts Reform UK would win 147 of 631 seats. Source

See every constituency

How we rate tactical-voting impact

Every constituency gets an Impact rating based on how Reform UK did there at the last election (or a later by-election), and on the latest MRP poll for the seat.

High impact High impact
  • The latest MRP poll for this seat predicts Reform will win it - tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.
  • The latest MRP poll for this seat has Reform less than 10 points behind the predicted winner - close enough that tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.
  • Reform came second last time - tactical voting may be necessary to keep Reform out next time.
  • Reform didn't win, but came within 10 points of the winner's vote share - close enough that a tactical vote may be necessary next time.
  • Reform currently holds the seat but with under 50% of the vote - vulnerable to being unseated.
Medium impact Medium impact
  • Reform didn't stand a candidate here at all last time - not the same as standing and doing badly, so it isn't Low.
  • Reform either won with over 50% of the vote or came second and the winner (a non-Reform party) got over 50% of the vote outright - a landslide so this seat isn't really in play for a tactical vote to make a difference.
  • Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Low impact Low impact
  • Reform's vote share was under 10% - too far back for tactical voting to matter much here.

Tactical voting against Reform UK: common questions

How do I vote tactically to stop Reform UK?

Under first past the post, only one candidate wins each seat. Voting tactically means backing whichever anti-Reform candidate is most likely to win where you live, even if they aren't your first choice. Find your constituency to see which party that is.

Who should I vote for to beat Reform in my constituency?

Every constituency page shows who can beat Reform UK there, the last election result and the latest MRP poll prediction for the seat. Browse every constituency.

Can I find my tactical vote by postcode?

Yes. Enter your postcode on the find my constituency page and we'll take you straight to your seat.

How do you predict which party can win in my constituency?

We start from the 2024 general election result (or a later by-election) and update it with the latest MRP poll, which predicts the result in every seat at the next general election.

Why vote tactically against Reform?

If the anti-Reform vote is split between several parties, Nigel Farage's Reform UK can win seats with well under half the vote. Read why we suggest voting tactically to keep Reform out.

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